Boise State Broncos vs San Diego State predictions

The Boise State Broncos, with a recent win against North Dakota, are set to face the San Diego State Aztecs, who are coming off two consecutive losses, in a Week 4 college football showdown. Read on for our free match preview and betting picks.

Washington Huskies
Match Live Friday 22 September, 10:30 PM ET
DAYS
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Key Stats
– Boise State Broncos have a recent win rate of 8 out of 9 games against conference opponents.
– San Diego State Aztecs have lost 15 out of 18 September home games against non-AP-ranked teams when it comes to covering the spread.
– Boise State ranked T9th last season among FBS teams, scoring 9.7 points per game in Q3.
BettingPicks Expert Predictions

Boise State Broncos -6.5 (-104)

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Boise State Broncos vs San Diego State predictions: A Week 4 Showdown

Broncos’ Resurgence

After a commendable 42-18 victory over North Dakota, the Boise State Broncos have secured their place in the winners’ column. Their quarterback, Taylen Green, has been instrumental with a commendable 576 yards, 3 touchdowns, and a slightly worrisome 4 interceptions, reflecting a passing rate of 52.9%. Ashton Jeanty has impressed the field with his stellar 202 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns. When talking about receiving, Eric McAlister tops the list for the Broncos with 15 catches resulting in 238 yards and 2 touchdowns. The defense has also been strong with Marco Notarainni leading with 20 total tackles and 2 sacks. In total, the Broncos’ defense boasts 8 sacks and 2 interceptions.

Quick Facts:

  • The Broncos have celebrated victory in 8 out of the last 9 games against their conference opponents.
  • Historically, they have struggled in September’s away games, failing to cover the spread in the last four.
  • They’ve shown initial dominance by winning the first half in 5 out of the last 6 road games against conference opponents.

Aztecs’ Struggles

On the other side, the San Diego State Aztecs face a challenging situation after two consecutive losses against Pac-12 opponents, the recent one being a 26-9 defeat against Oregon State. Quarterback Jalen Mayden’s performance has been commendable with 701 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Their defense has also shown promise with Zyrus Fiaseu leading with 25 total tackles and Cedarious Barfield with 3 interceptions.

Quick Facts:

  • In recent matchups between Boise State and San Diego State, the underdog has emerged victorious 3 times out of the last 4 games.
  • San Diego State has seen a trend of not covering the spread in 15 out of the last 18 September home games against non-AP-ranked teams.

League Statistics to Consider

  • San Diego State shone last season with a 7th rank among FBS teams for H1 win percentage, standing at .769.
  • The team also ranked 13th among FBS teams for allowing only 8.7 H1 points per game.
  • Boise State held its own with a rank of T9th among FBS teams for scoring 9.7 Q3 points per game and T10th for H2 win percentage at .714.

Predictions

The enticing prospect of siding with a home underdog like San Diego State is recognized, but the recent performance from the Aztecs doesn’t inspire much confidence. Even though Boise State had its struggles against the likes of Washington and UCF, their defense, especially against UCF, was noteworthy. With more potential on the Broncos’ side and their defense showing promise, it’s a safe bet to side with Boise State for the upcoming game.

BettingPicks Expert Predictions

Boise State Broncos -6.5 (-104)

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Emmanuel Ifabiyi
Ifabiyi Emmanuel Olaniyi is a sports writer that covers major American sports such as the NBA, NFL and Soccer. His wild passion and enthusiasm for these sports inspired him to kick off his career as an analyst and copywriter two years ago.