Texas Longhorns are poised for victory against the Kansas Jayhawks, with a strong defense expected to be a game-changer in Austin. Read on for our free match preview and betting picks.
Match Live Saturday 30th Sept, 3:30 PM ET
Key Stats
– Kansas Jayhawks have a 106th rank in opponent-adjusted defensive efficiency.
– Texas demonstrates third-place nationwide ranking in opponent-adjusted efficiency.
BettingPicks Expert Predictions
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Kansas Jayhawks vs Texas Longhorns Predictions: Big 12 Opener Holds Different Stakes for Both Teams
A Rematch to Remember
In their last Austin showdown, the Jayhawks narrowly clinched a thrilling 57-56 overtime victory, with Jalon Daniels and Devin Neal securing a combined total of eight touchdowns. This weekend’s game promises another exciting clash, with Texas eager to avenge their previous loss in one of the weekend’s highlighted ranked matchups.
Season Performances
Both teams have maintained an unblemished 4-0 Straight Up (SU) record, and a balanced 2-2 Against The Spread (ATS) through the initial four weeks of the season. The Jayhawks will enter Austin on the back of a 38-27 home victory against the newly inducted conference rival BYU. Meanwhile, the Longhorns have showcased their might with a convincing 32-point triumph over Baylor, marking the scoreboard at 38-6 last week.
Texas’ Defensive Prowess
While the Longhorns have lived up to their offensive reputation, it’s their commendable defensive play that gives them a distinctive edge in the forthcoming game. Although Kansas has exhibited a tendency to rely on their running game this season — executing ground plays 60% of the time against FBS opponents — Texas boasts a defense adept at countering such strategies. The Longhorns, with a fifth-place ranking in defensive success against runs and impressive metrics in EPA per rush and PFF’s rush defense, are well-equipped to halt the Jayhawks’ advances.
Analyzing the Jayhawks
Kansas has exhibited efficiency on early downs, a statistic somewhat inflated due to their engagement with teams ranked outside Sagarin’s top 95. The upcoming clash will test the Jayhawks as they face Texas’ formidable defense, ranked third nationwide in opponent-adjusted efficiency. Texas has excelled in controlling the scrimmage line and thwarting early downs, pushing their opponents into predictable third-down passing scenarios.
Defensive Disparities
With the Jayhawks ranking a lowly 106th in opponent-adjusted defensive efficiency and failing to break into the top 80 in unadjusted drive efficiency and touchdown rate allowed, the impending game seems tilted in favor of Texas. The Longhorns’ superior defense is anticipated to be a challenge too steep for Kansas to surmount.
Conclusion
Given these dynamics, the Longhorns not only possess the capability to win but are also favored to cover the spread against the Jayhawks in the anticipated rematch in Austin.
BettingPicks Expert Predictions
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