The Ole Miss Rebels are favored to win against the LSU Tigers, leveraging their offensive strengths and the urgent need to secure a victory for title contention. Read on for our free match preview and betting picks.
Match Live Saturday 30th Sept, 6:00 PM ET
Key Stats
– LSU’s defense ranks 84th in allowing explosive pass plays and 89th in permissible passing success rate.
– Ole Miss running backs have forced 16 missed tackles on 72 rush attempts.
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LSU Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels Predictions: A Pivotal SEC West Clash
A Swift Recovery for the Rebels
The Ole Miss Rebels have little time to mull over their recent stumble at Tuscaloosa as they prepare to host a daunting contender, the LSU Tigers, this Saturday at Oxford. After a disheartening defeat, Ole Miss stands at 3-1 both Straight Up (SU) and Against The Spread (ATS) through their initial four games, mirroring LSU’s record with their only loss occurring during the first week against Florida State. Despite facing a close call in their last game against their SEC West counterpart, Arkansas, the Tigers narrowly secured a victory by three points, even as they were favored by 17.5.
Rebel Redemption
Although the Rebels’ second-half display against Alabama was far from impressive, they are anticipated to hold their ground effectively against the Tigers. Ole Miss holds a discernible edge over LSU in several key areas: PPA margin, explosiveness margin, and points per opportunity margin. With a significant game against Georgia looming on their schedule, the Rebels will undoubtedly be playing with heightened urgency and determination. To maintain a fighting chance for the SEC West title, winning this upcoming game is imperative, mirroring their 2021 scenario where they triumphed over a ranked Arkansas post a Tuscaloosa setback.
Offensive Dynamics
The Rebels’ quarterback, Jaxson Dart, along with their adept receivers, are poised to penetrate LSU’s defensive unit successfully. The Tigers’ defense, which sits at 84th in allowing explosive pass plays and 89th in permissible passing success rate, is likely to struggle against the Rebels’ passing offense. With a ranking of 112th in Pro Football Focus’s coverage grade, the Tigers present a favorable matchup for the Rebel receivers, in stark contrast to Alabama’s second-ranked coverage defense the Rebels encountered the previous week.
Rebels’ Ground Advantage
LSU’s tackling efficiency, which languishes outside the top 100, might be exploited by Ole Miss running backs Quinshon Judkins and Ulysses Bentley. With the duo having forced 16 missed tackles on 72 rush attempts, the stage is set for the Rebels’ ground game to shine.
Conclusion
Considering the offensive compatibility and the pressing need for a win, Ole Miss Rebels are likely to emerge victorious against the LSU Tigers at their home turf on Saturday.
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