Cory Sandhagen vs Song Yadong Predictions & Picks

Cory Sandhagen vs Song Yadong Predictions


Key Stat: Sandhagen should control the bout with his 3-inch advantage in height and reach

Tip Reasoning

  • His last bout ended in a unanimous decision loss to Petr Yan
  • Four of the last six of Yadong Song’s fights have gone the distance
  • The value is much better in backing Sandhagen to win via decision rather than straight up at the -200 odds


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Cory Sandhagen and Song Yadong will headline the UFC Fight Night 210 event this Saturday at the UFC APEX in Las Vegas. The stakes are huge as the two fighters desperately want a win to get in a position for a bantamweight title shot sooner rather than later. Both men have plenty to lose here and we expect the tension to be at the highest possible level. Sandhagen enters the bout as a pretty big favorite according to the sportsbooks. If you want to make $100 by backing him to win, you will need to double the stakes. Let’s see is this worth it?

The short answer is no because we see this as a much closer fight than the sportsbooks predict. Of course, Sandhagen is the favorite, that’s the part where we agree. He has a three-inch both height and reach advantage and he generally lands more significant strikes per minute than Song Yadong. However, since Sandhagen left the octagon shorthanded the last time out when he lost to Petr Yan on unanimous decision, we don’t see him as a clear favorite worth backing at the -200 odds. Instead, we recognize a much better value in backing Sandhagen to win by Decision ort Technical Decision at the odds of +125.

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Tip Reasoning

Key Stat: Cory Sandman went five full rounds in each of his previous two fights

  • He lost both of them against T.J. Dillashaw and Petr Yan
  • Song Yadong had only two stoppages in the last six fights
  • This is a super important fight for both men and we don’t expect either to take unnecessary risks in the early stages

Song has a better takedown ratio at 42.86% in comparison to Sandhagen’s 33.33%. However, Cory has been more efficient in submissions over his career. Song will try takedowns here but we doubt he will be able to cause damage to Cory on the ground knowing how good Sandhagen is in this element, too. Cory Sandhagen went five full rounds in each of his previous two fights against T.J. Dillashaw and Petr Yan. On the other side, four of Yadong’s previous six bouts have gone the distance. We can hardly see a stoppage here, especially knowing how important this particular fight is for both men. The second bet is the fight to go the distance at the -150 odds.

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Mark loves all American sports since a very young age. He has experience working in the UK for some of the leading UK tipping sites for several years (time goes fast when you having fun), and now has the opportunity to cover Tennis, MMA, UFC, Soccer, NFL, NBA, NHL for all US readers.