Despite recent performances, both Patrick Corbin and Chris Sale face significant challenges as the Red Sox battle the Washington lineup, with both sides potentially capitalizing on each pitcher’s vulnerabilities. Read on for our free match preview and betting picks.
Match Live Thursday 17th August, 4:05 PM ET
Key Stats
– Chris Sale has a higher 5.34 ERA and .272 opponent batting average in away games this season.
– Washington’s batting lineup ranks 12th in wOBA and 9th in AVG against southpaw pitching in the past month.
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Boston Red Sox vs Washington Nationals Predictions: Clash of the Titans
The Curious Case of Patrick Corbin
In the world of baseball, trends often hint at future performances. However, Patrick Corbin’s trajectory presents an interesting challenge. Despite the Red Sox’s lackluster performance against left-handed pitching, standing at a lowly 26th in wOBA and an even more concerning wRC+ of 64 in the recent month, Corbin’s numbers don’t project dominance for the day. Even after enjoying a 6-day rest, he’s only expected to record 15.5 outs, a figure he’s exceeded in most of his recent games.
The Boston lineup seems to struggle against pitchers of Corbin’s ilk, and given his most recent 5-inning, 1-run performance against the Phillies, one might assume a repeat display. But this assumption may be premature. In his last outing, while Corbin showcased resilience by allowing just a solitary run, he also dished out seven walks. Although he’s generally demonstrated good control (standing in the 64th percentile for BB% this season), any dip in this aspect only aggravates his existing challenges.
Corbin, unfortunately, permits considerable contact. His low whiff and strikeout rates coupled with high hard-hit and expected batting average rates highlight his vulnerabilities. Add to this, his record of 24 home runs allowed this season, and the Boston batters – especially the likes of Justin Turner, Adam Duvall, and Trevor Story who have thrived against him – seem poised to capitalize. In addition, Boston’s potential to bring more right-handed batters could exploit Corbin’s noted weaknesses. However, the Washington bullpen has emerged as a surprise package lately, presenting some hope for the team.
Chris Sale: The Returnee’s Challenge
Chris Sale’s return from the IL marks a pivotal moment for his team. In his previous game against the Tigers, he pitched effectively, but with limited workload, only throwing 58 pitches over 4.2 innings. He’s expected to maintain a similar pace in the forthcoming game as he gradually readjusts to the game’s demands. Sale’s away record this season is less than flattering, evidenced by a 5.34 ERA and a .272 opponent batting average.
Washington’s batters, on the other hand, have shown an affinity for left-handed pitching. Their recent stats, including a 12th rank in wOBA and a commendable 9th in AVG, suggest they’re poised to challenge Sale. Coupled with Ballpark Pal’s prediction of a 14% surge in run scoring at Nationals Park, the Red Sox’s already struggling bullpen might face an uphill task.
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