Colorado Rockies vs Washington Nationals Predictions

The match between the Rockies and the Nationals, featuring two underperforming pitchers and struggling bullpens, hints at another high-scoring affair. Read on for our free match preview and betting picks.

COL Rockies
Match Live Tuesday 25th July, 7:05 PM ET
DAYS
Hr
Min
Sec
Key Stats
– Rockies’ Austin Gomber has a concerning 6.18 ERA and 1.47 WHIP from 20 starts this season.
– The Rockies’ bullpen ranks 25th with a 4.65 ERA, while the Nationals’ bullpen languishes at the bottom with a 4.76 true-talent ERA.
– Nationals’ Trevor Williams anticipates regression from an already mediocre standard with a 4.38 ERA, 5.18 xERA, and 5.51 FIP.
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Colorado Rockies vs Washington Nationals Predictions: A Comprehensive Analysis

The Colorado Rockies, coming fresh off a thrilling win against the Washington Nationals, look to continue their winning momentum in tonight’s game. The Rockies outperformed the Nationals’ traditional starter Patrick Corbin in a high-scoring match, securing 10 hits and 5 earned runs. Tonight’s game, featuring two pitchers with high ERAs and low strikeout rates, could see another run-heavy spectacle.

Rockies’ Pitching Quandary: Austin Gomber’s Struggles

Austin Gomber is taking the mound for the Rockies. Despite showing slight improvement in recent games, Gomber’s track record leaves much to be desired. After 20 starts, his statistics stand at a worrying 6.18 ERA and 1.47 WHIP.

An examination of his advanced statistics paints an equally grim picture. Gomber ranks in the bottom 10% for several categories, including xBA (expected batting average), K% (strikeout percentage), xSLG (expected slugging), and chase rate.

The Rockies’ bullpen hasn’t been very supportive, either. Gomber averages only 5.1 innings pitched per start, and with the 25th-ranked bullpen’s 4.65 ERA, the Rockies have seen better days. A recent match against the Nationals saw the bullpen concede five runs in the last two innings, not a confidence-inspiring performance. Furthermore, Gomber’s previous encounter with a similar Washington lineup in April resulted in 5 runs allowed in just 4.2 innings.

Nationals’ Pitching Woes: Trevor Williams’ Performance

For the Nationals, Trevor Williams will be the one stepping onto the mound. His performance throughout this season hasn’t been encouraging. Although his 4.38 ERA seems slightly better than Gomber’s, a 5.18 xERA and 5.51 FIP suggest a looming downturn from this already mediocre standard.

Williams’ advanced analytics are also worrisome, falling into the 13th percentile for xBA, 8th percentile in whiff rate, and the 13th percentile in K%. To add to the Nationals’ woes, their bullpen, ranked at the bottom with a 4.76 true-talent ERA as per EVAnalytics, has been far from supportive.

With these factors in mind, it won’t be a surprise if we witness a high-scoring game. All things considered, the prediction leans towards the “over” in this one.

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