Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies predictions

The Philadelphia Phillies hold an advantage in their upcoming three-game series against the Detroit Tigers, primarily due to the pitching prowess of Aaron Nola. Will this continue? Read on for our free match preview and betting picks.

Match Live Monday 5th June, 6:40 PM ET

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Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies Predictions: Anticipating a Fierce Showdown

The Philadelphia Phillies are preparing to host the Detroit Tigers for a riveting three-game series commencing Monday night. The starting pitchers—Joey Wentz for the Tigers and Aaron Nola for the Phillies—offer a distinct edge to the home team.

The Troubled Run of Joey Wentz

The first half of the season has been challenging for the Tigers’ Joey Wentz. With a high ERA of 7.28 and a WHIP of 1.68 across his 11 starts, he’s had little run support. More troubling, Wentz has a tendency to place his team at a disadvantage early in the game.

His .289 expected batting average (xBA), 45% hard-hit rate, and 9.4% barrel rate are all in the bottom 30% of their respective categories. His struggles might be compounded as he faces the Phillies’ offense, which demonstrated impressive prowess during their weekend series against the Nationals, scoring seven runs in two of the three games.

Aaron Nola’s Mediocre Start But Promising Outlook

Aaron Nola, the Phillies’ pitcher, despite a stellar 2022 campaign, has had a less impressive start to this season. His ERA has risen to 4.70, and his xBA has climbed to .241—his highest since 2016. However, it would be hasty to discount Nola’s potential just yet. He’s faced some formidable offenses in recent weeks, including the Mets, Braves, Cubs, Dodgers, and Blue Jays. Monday night’s game against the Tigers might offer him a respite, given that the Tigers are currently the third-worst team in handling fastballs this season.

Nola is likely to leverage this weakness, serving the Tigers a combination of fastballs and curveballs, which should play to his advantage. Given Wentz’s form and the resurging Phillies lineup, it would be wise to back the home team by the run line in the upcoming showdown.

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