The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Atlanta Braves, top teams in the National League, face off in a series promising high-scoring games. Who will prevail? Read on for our free match preview and betting picks.
Match Live Monday 22nd May, 7:20 PM ET
Key Stats
– The Braves rank 8th highest in BB% against right-handed pitching, contributing to their reputation as a high-scoring offense.
– Despite a strong 2.85 ERA, Charlie Morton of the Braves showcases a worrying 3.59 FIP and an xERA of 4.40, suggesting potential regression in future games.
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves Predictions: An Epic Battle of National League Titans
Tonight, baseball fans are in for a treat as the Los Angeles Dodgers and Atlanta Braves, teams with the best records in the National League, face off in the opening game of a 3-game series. Fourth-ranked prospect Gavin Stone of the Dodgers, fresh from AAA Oklahoma City, will step on the mound for the second MLB start of his burgeoning career.
Dodgers’ Stone: Potential Meets Challenge
Stone’s MLB debut was against the Phillies on May 3. The rookie conceded 8 hits and 2 walks in 4 innings, leading to 5 runs for Philadelphia. Despite the rocky start, the Dodgers emerged victorious with a 10-6 score. Since then, Stone has been stretched to 91 and 93 pitches in two AAA starts, conceding a combined 7 walks and 2 home runs in those 11 innings. The rookie leans heavily on his changeup—more than the average young pitcher—with a 42.9% usage rate in his MLB debut. With a 12.8% BB% and 5.07 FIP this season in AAA, Stone’s challenge is real against the formidable Atlanta Braves offense.
Braves Offense: A Force to Reckon With
The Braves, with a preference for left-handed pitching, still pack a punch against right-handers, ranking 9th in ISO. They also stand 8th in terms of the highest BB% against right-handed pitching, showing their ability to drain opposing starters’ pitch counts with an average of 3.95 pitches per plate appearance.
Morton for Atlanta: A Potential Regression
Veteran Charlie Morton, who will take the mound for Atlanta, has been largely dependable, allowing 2 or fewer earned runs in 6 of his last 7 starts. However, there are worrisome signs beneath the surface. His 2.85 ERA masks a 3.59 FIP and an xERA of 4.40. His 81.4% LOB% is significantly higher than his career average, pointing to potential regression. Morton’s reliance on his curveball and his less-than-stellar first-pitch strike rate set up a favorable matchup for the Dodgers.
Dodgers’ Offense: Expert Curveball Counter
The Dodgers are notably skilled against curveballs, ranking 1st in run value/100 against such pitches. They also rank top against the changeup, another Morton staple, and maintain strong positions against fastball and sinker. With the 2nd place in ISO and 4th in wOBA this season against right-handed pitching, the Dodgers present a formidable challenge to Morton.
Bullpen Blues for the Braves
The Braves’ bullpen is noticeably strained, with three arms potentially being used for the third time in four days and four others heavily used on Saturday. Every arm in the bullpen has seen action in the last two days, signaling potential fatigue.
High-Octane Offenses: Runs Galore
Considering the potent offenses of both teams and the precarious state of the Braves’ bullpen, one can expect a high-scoring game filled with plenty of runs.
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