Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Predictions

The Miami Marlins are favored to win against the New York Mets due to their strong pitching advantage with Luzardo on the mound. Read on for our free match preview and betting picks.

MIA Marlins
Match Live Thursday 28 September, 7:10 PM ET
DAYS
Hr
Min
Sec
Key Stats
– Jesus Luzardo, with a 10-9 record, boasts a 3.73 ERA and is in the 79th percentile for K%.
– David Peterson struggles with a 5.37 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP, ranking in the lower percentiles for xERA, xBA, and BB%.
– Peterson has had a challenging September, with a 5.95 ERA and consistently allowing 3+ runs in all of his starts this month.
BettingPicks Expert Predictions

Miami Marlins (-136)

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Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Predictions: Third Game Thriller

Luzardo at the Helm for Marlins

In a crucial game for the Miami Marlins, they are pinning their hopes on Jesus Luzardo, who will be taking the pitcher’s mound this Thursday against the New York Mets. Luzardo boasts a commendable 10-9 record, with an ERA of 3.73 and a WHIP of 1.24. His performance has been above average, with a placement in the 63rd percentile for expected batting average (xBA) and shining particularly brightly in the 79th percentile for strikeout percentage (K%). While the Mets are not known for striking out, Luzardo has successfully sent five players back to the dugout in their previous encounter.

In games where every run counts, Luzardo’s reliable arm will be crucial. He has recently showcased his ability against formidable teams like the Dodgers and Braves, restricting them to a meager combined total of two runs this month. For the Marlins, this game is non-negotiable, and Luzardo’s track record suggests he may be the right man to deliver a much-needed victory.

Peterson’s Struggles Continue for Mets

On the opposite side, the Mets will be sending David Peterson to the mound, whose season has been less than stellar. Peterson’s struggles are evident from his 3-8 record, accompanied by a discouraging 5.37 ERA and a high 1.60 WHIP. His overall performance has placed him in the lower echelons of the league’s pitchers, with a 17th percentile ranking for expected ERA (xERA), 22nd percentile for xBA, and 28th percentile for walk percentage (BB%).

Moreover, Peterson has consistently surrendered three or more runs in all of his starts this month, culminating in a disappointing 5.95 ERA for September. With the Marlins desperate and determined for a win, and given the evident pitching mismatch in their favor, it would be prudent for bettors to consider backing the Marlins in this encounter.

Game Prediction

Considering the comparative performance of the pitchers and the urgency for a win from the Marlins, the scales tip in favor of Miami. Luzardo’s recent form and Peterson’s ongoing struggles paint a picture that suggests the Marlins have the upper hand in this crucial game. For those looking to place bets, the Marlins’ money line seems to be a sensible pick given their advantageous pitching situation and the high stakes of the game.

BettingPicks Expert Predictions

Miami Marlins (-136)

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Carl Tarver
Born and raised in Denver and a former college baseball player, I'm an avid fan of prop bets, especially on the NBA, NHL, NFL, and NCAA. looking to find an edge by any means necessary. As a lifelong Nuggets fan, I promise to be very impartial when the Nuggets are not involved!