The Milwaukee Brewers are favored to emerge victorious over the St. Louis Cardinals, capitalizing on Freddy Peralta’s strong performance. Will they succeed? Read on for our free match preview and betting picks.
Match Live Tuesday 16th May, 7:45 PM ET
Key Stats
– Jack Flaherty has allowed multiple walks in six of his eight starts this season.
– Teams playing on Monday after Sunday Night Baseball games have a 1-4 straight-up record this season, being outscored 35-12.
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Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Predictions: Milwaukee Brewers Set to Overcome St. Louis Cardinals in Intriguing Clash
The St. Louis Cardinals have recently displayed impressive form, winning six of their last seven games. However, they are up against a challenging opponent in Freddy Peralta and the Milwaukee Brewers. The Brewers, too, have been in great shape, having swept the Royals in their previous series. This showdown between the two teams is set to be an exciting one, with Peralta and Jack Flaherty taking the mound as starting pitchers.
Freddy Peralta’s Dominance
Peralta has been in excellent form, giving up just five earned runs across his last three starts and 18 innings pitched. With an impressive 23 strikeouts and a mere five walks during that period, he has been keeping batters guessing. Peralta’s 3.42 FIP may be higher than his previous seasons, but he remains an above-average starter. His repertoire includes a lively fastball, changeup, slider, and curveball, which pose a challenge for the Cardinals’ offense, which ranks poorly against these pitches.
Jack Flaherty’s Struggles
In contrast, Flaherty has struggled significantly this season, with multiple walks in six of his eight starts. This includes a six-walk game against the Brewers and five walks in his last outing against the Cubs. A low 58.8% first-pitch strike rate and a meager 22.1% chase rate showcase his difficulties in getting ahead in counts. Flaherty has also allowed seven or more hits in three consecutive starts, and his home run allowance in six straight starts is worrisome against the Brewers’ offense that ranks 11th in wOBA against right-handed pitchers.
Travel Fatigue and Bullpen Advantage
For the second consecutive Monday, the Brewers and Peralta face a team that played a Sunday Night Baseball game and is now traveling. The Cardinals completed their series in Boston, and the quick turnaround may impact their performance. Teams in this situation have a 1-4 straight-up record this season, being outscored 35-12. Although the Cardinals boast a better bullpen in terms of FIP and K-BB%, the Brewers’ bullpen is well-rested, thanks to Eric Lauer’s 5.1 innings of long relief in their previous game.
Verdict
The matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals is poised to be an intense clash. Freddy Peralta’s dominance and the Brewers’ well-rested bullpen are expected to exploit Jack Flaherty’s struggles and the Cardinals’ potential travel fatigue. While a first three innings bet might offer the largest edge for Milwaukee, backing them for the full game seems like a smart choice.
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