Despite their losing streak, the Oakland Athletics could extend their trend of covering the run line in their game against the Cleveland Guardians, making them a potentially profitable underdog. Read on for our free match preview and betting picks.
Match Live Thursday 22th June, 1:10 PM ET
Key Stats
– In their last 15 games, the Oakland Athletics have only lost by more than a single run twice.
– Both teams are weak in batting against left-handed pitching and will be deploying average left-handed pitchers.
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Oakland Athletics vs Cleveland Guardians predictions: A Potential Underdog Victory on the Run Line
The concluding game of a series between the Oakland Athletics and Cleveland Guardians is set to take place this Thursday. Cleveland has managed to clinch the first two games, each with a slender one-run margin, and one after extra innings. Although victories are victories, these wins, especially over baseball’s currently weakest team, were not overwhelmingly convincing. Notably, Cleveland and Oakland are among the four Major League Baseball (MLB) teams averaging fewer than four runs per game, setting the stage for a low-scoring game. However, due to the susceptibility of the pitchers, the focus shifts to an alternate low-scoring game strategy — favoring the underdog on the run line.
Oakland’s Strength as an Underdog
Looking back over the past 15 games, during which Oakland kick-started a winning streak, the A’s have only lost by more than a single run twice. During these games, Oakland was most likely the +1.5-run underdog, meaning they were expected to lose the game by 1.5 runs or more. However, they turned out to be quite profitable on that run line, hinting at a similar outcome for Thursday’s game.
Pitching and Batting Matchups
Both teams will be relying on mediocre left-handed pitchers, and they also share a struggle when it comes to batting against left-handed pitching. The Guardians’ line-up, heavily populated by left-handed hitters, will be at a platoon disadvantage. Conversely, the Athletics can load their line-up with right-handed batters, potentially giving them an edge during the initial innings.
The challenge for Oakland is to ensure their bullpen holds its own towards the end of the game. If they can do that, they could extend their run of covering the run line, even if they continue to lose games. There’s an opportunity for profit, even when backing underperforming teams.
However, it’s crucial to approach this strategy with caution. This is considered a 1-star bet due to the potential cost involved. The strategy would look considerably more attractive if the odds dropped closer to -120.
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