NASCAR Federated Auto Parts 400 Outright Winner Tips
Key Stat: This is probably the last chance for Martin Truex Jr. go win a race and get into the playoffs
- He led a race-high 172 laps in New Hampshire, the previous flat track, back in mid-July
- Martin won three of his previous six races at Richmond Raceway
- Truex Jr. is the top favorite for a reason here
The 2022 Nascar Cup Series moved to Virginia as the top drivers in the world will compete for the triumph on Sunday afternoon at Richmond Raceway. Before we move on to our main favorites for the win, we must share important data ahead of this weekend’s race. At 3/4 miles, Richmond Raceway is the third-shortest course in the Nascar Cup Series calendar. As such, this D-shaped oval is very specific and particularly suited to some drivers, especially those who drive for Toyota Racing Team.
Now, it is also very important to mention that this is the 24th race in this year’s calendar. With just three races left to go and only one playoffs spot up for grabs following last week’s win for Kevin Harvick (his first of the season) at the Firekeeprs Casino 400, there is plenty at stake this weekend. The first name popping up to our list of the favorites is identical to the sportsbook’s top contender – Martin Truex Jr. It may sound weird to back someone who has not won a single race out of 23 we’ve had so far in the season, but there is really a lot to like about Martin’s chances here. This is checkers or wreckers time for Truex Jr. who will find Richmond Raceway as by far his best shot of securing a win in the remaining part of the season. We doubt he will waste it and we will back him to go all the way and cross the checkered flag first on Sunday afternoon at the +650 odds.
Key Stat: Flat tracks are Hamlin’s bread and butter
- Denny has won at Richmond Raceway in the past
- Despite a somewhat weaker form in general, he has secured a sixth-place finish at New Hampshire (the previous flat track similar to this one in Virginia)
- You can hardly ignore Hamlin on this type of course
If it is not Martin Truex Jr. who takes the checkered flag first on Sunday, it should be local boy Danny Hamlin. He loves to race at his home track where he has 4 wins and as many as 16 top-five finishes in 31 Nascar Cup Series starts. Much like Truex Jr., Denny knows how to win in Richmond where he earned the victory despite leading the race for just five laps (his team’s phenomenal pit stop strategy had a lot to do with it). Again, much like Martin Truex Jr., Denny Hamlin is a favorite for a reason here. You can back him to win outright at the +700 odds.