NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400 Outright Winner Tips: Denny Hamlin as the Big Favorite, the Value is With Bowman

NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400 Outright Winner Tips


Key Stat: Denny Hamlin is the only man who managed to win at least two races at Kansas Speedway in the last ten years

Tip Reasoning

  • Hamlin has four successive Top-6 finishes on intermediate tracks
  • Denny has won every seventh race of the season
  • This is the 28th NASCAR event in this year’s calendar


We are in for the second race of the NASCAR round of 16 playoffs as the top drivers in the world move to Kansas Speedway for this weekend’s race. The green lights will be shown on Sunday at 3:00 pm with the live coverage secured by the USA Network. The last week’s race in Darlington went in Erik Jones’ hands as the non-playoffs driver pulled off a huge upset on the occasion. His win only decreases the chances of another non-playoffs driver’s success. Surely we won’t see another similar shock this time around.

We have had only four non-playoffs winners at Kansas Speedway (in a playoffs race) historically. All of these upsets happened in the span between 2004 and 2007. Also, it is worth mentioning that only one man has managed to win two races in Kansas in the last ten years. His name is Denny Hamlin and he is the main favorite for the win on Sunday. Hamlin has won twice here in the last ten years. He has four consecutive Top-6 finishes on this type of tracks (intermediate) this term. Last but not least, Denny has won every seventh race of the season so far. This is the 28th race of the campaign. You do the maths, we will back Hamlin to win outright at the odds of +600.

Tip Reasoning

Key Stat: The value is massive with Alex Bowman at +3300 odds

  • Bowman won a race on a very similar track this March in Las Vegas
  • He has six Top-11 finishes in the last 9 races on intermediate tracks
  • Alex made it into the top-10 last weekend in Darlington

Our second betting favorite actually represents a big longshot because he is nowhere near the main contenders for the outright victory at Hollywood Casino 400 according to the sportsbooks. We are very much tempted by the lucrative +3300 odds offered for Alex Bowman to cross the checkered flag first on Sunday. Bowman has been decent on intermediate tracks so far in the season. He has six Top-11 finishes on this type of courses in the previous nine attempts. He went all the way to win the Las Vegas race back in March on a very similar course than the one we’ll have at Kansas Speedway. He has managed a top-10 finish last weekend in Darlington as well. What’s not to like about his chances of winning here? Again, the odds are set at +3300.

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Mark loves all American sports since a very young age. He has experience working in the UK for some of the leading UK tipping sites for several years (time goes fast when you having fun), and now has the opportunity to cover Tennis, MMA, UFC, Soccer, NFL, NBA, NHL for all US readers.