Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat predictions

The pressured Bucks aim to cover in Game 4 against the Heat. Can the Bucks bounce back Giannis or not Giannis? Read on for our free match preview and betting picks.

MIA Heat
Match Live Monday 24th April, 7:30 PM ET
DAYS
Hr
Min
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Key Stats
– The Bucks have one double-digit win without Antetokounmpo in the series.
– The Heat have scored over 120 points in all three games of the series.
– The two teams averaged 229 points in their last 10 meetings.

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Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat predictions: Pressure Mounts for the Milwaukee Bucks

The Milwaukee Bucks face mounting pressure as they trail 2-1 in their series against the Miami Heat. Superstar forward Giannis Antetokounmpo’s potential absence for a third consecutive game further complicates matters.

Despite his limited presence in the series, the Bucks managed one double-digit home win. Milwaukee must avoid falling behind 3-1, especially against a team that barely entered the postseason through the play-in.

Miami Heat Deserve Credit, But Face a Tough Fight

The Miami Heat’s 2-1 series lead is well-earned, but the situation would differ if Antetokounmpo were playing. In Game 3, the Heat restricted the Bucks to 99 points, with Jimmy Butler contributing 30 points. Duncan Robinson scored 20 points and hit 5 threes, compensating for Tyler Herro’s injury. The Heat’s depth and strong bench are their key strengths.

Game 4 Predictions: Bucks to Bounce Back

Despite Antetokounmpo’s uncertain availability, the Bucks remain strong contenders for Game 4. In Game 2, three different players scored over 20 points. Expect Brook Lopez, Jrue Holiday, and Khris Middleton to step up against the Heat, who recently lost to the average Atlanta Hawks at home. The prediction leans toward the Bucks covering in Game 4.

Over 217.5 Points Expected

Surprisingly, all three games in the series exceeded the total points comfortably despite the Heat ranking 29th in pace this season. Miami’s 98 possessions per game and 25th rank in offensive efficiency still resulted in over 120 points in all three games. This highlights the Bucks’ reliance on Giannis, particularly on defense.

The over has cashed in 6 of 7 Milwaukee road games and in their last 5 overall. For the Heat, this occurred in 8 of their last 10 games and in 7 of their last 9 against Eastern Conference opponents. With the two teams averaging 229 points in their last 10 meetings, backing the points at 217.5 is a reasonable choice.

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Emmanuel Ifabiyi
Ifabiyi Emmanuel Olaniyi is a sports writer that covers major American sports such as the NBA, NFL and Soccer. His wild passion and enthusiasm for these sports inspired him to kick off his career as an analyst and copywriter two years ago.