NCAAF Prop Bets: Bryce Young to Have a Field Day  

NCAAF Prop Bets: Bryce Young to Have a Field Day


Key Stat: Vanderbilt do not have the capacity to slow down Alabama offense

Tip Reasoning

  • The Commodores do not have success defensively on standard downs
  • Vanderbilt can’t control the line of scrimmage against the Crimson Tide
  • Alabama should not have problems scoring 60+ points like they did last weekend against Louisiana Monroe


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Vanderbilt Commodores will be hoping to repeat Texas’ game plan in Saturday’s clash against No 2 Alabama Crimson Tide. As expected, Alabama won all three games so far in the season, but they had huge problems in the Week 2 tie at Texas, winning by only a single point margin. Whoever has watched the game can agree that the Crimson Tide were lucky to get away win the win on the occasion because Texas offered the best possible performance against them two weeks ago. Yet, it was not enough as Alabama went through this trip unharmed and backed it up with a demolishing victory over Louisiana Monroe last weekend.

The only question ahead of this match is whether the Commodores can do what the Longhorns did in Week 2 against the Crimson Tide?  Our answer is no because the key to Texas’ success in that game lied in the line of scrimmage control. Vanderbilt rank only 55% in success rate when it comes to standard downs. This puts them at the foot of the SEC. For the sake of comparison, Louisiana Monroe had a 53% defensive success rate last season. The Tide responded with their offense having a 70% success rate on standard downs throughout the whole match. This resulted in a 63-7 win. We will go with Alabama Crimson Tide Over 49.5 team points at the -112 odds.

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Tip Reasoning

Key Stat: The Commodores are 109th in the league in passing defense

  • They are now up against the reigning Heisman Trophy winner Bryce Young
  • Alabama almost slipped up in Week 2 against Texas and they will approach all future games in much more serious fashion
  • We expect the Crimson Tide to finish the job in the early phase of the game

The Crimson Tide enter this match as 40-point favorites. They are 3-0 straight up and 2-1 against the spread and yet we have the impression that they have offered subpar showings so far in the season. While a lot of this impression comes down to the Week 2 tie against Texas Longhorns, the reality is that we should only see a better Alabama side in the upcoming weeks. This is by no means a fair matchup since Alabama are up against Vanderbilt who are by no means the best defensive team against passing in the league. The Commodores actually rank 109th in the nation in passing defense. This will be the music to the ears of the current Heisman Trophy winner Bryce Young who should have a field day on Saturday. We expect the Crimson Tide to make the difference early on and we will back them to win the first half in a -25 points spread at the -110 odds.

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Mark loves all American sports since a very young age. He has experience working in the UK for some of the leading UK tipping sites for several years (time goes fast when you having fun), and now has the opportunity to cover Tennis, MMA, UFC, Soccer, NFL, NBA, NHL for all US readers.