The all-star break doesn’t imply a pause in the YRFI/NRFI market – the most thrilling wager in baseball!
It’s open for business during the All-Star Game, and I’ve examined the starting pitchers, lineups, and historical scores to pinpoint the best first-inning bet. A comprehensive study of statistics and past events has led me to my initial inning wager for the Midsummer Showdown. And don’t forget to review our MLB All-Star Game predictions for tonight’s marquee clash.
Starting Tuesday 11th July, 8:00 PM ET
BettingPicks Expert YRFI & NRFI Predictions
MLB All-Star Game National League vs American League: NRFI (-120)
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MLB All-Star Game National League vs American League: NRFI (-120)
In a typical regular season, a matchup between Gerrit Cole and Zac Gallen would likely result in an NRFI (No Run First Inning) price hovering around -170. However, considering the powerhouse hitters that both Cole and Gallen must contend with during the All-Star Game, the NRFI price sits at a more modest -120 in many sportsbooks. This shift is largely due to the American League’s line-up, consisting of formidable hitters like Ronald Acuna Jr., Freddie Freeman, Mookie Betts, J.D. Martinez, and Nolan Arenado.
Assuming Gerrit Cole, for the American League, starts on the mound against Ronald Acuna Jr. and the National League, there is an immediate sense of trepidation. The career statistics of the National League’s top five hitters, particularly those against Cole, are somewhat intimidating for the NRFI bet. Each batter, barring Martinez, has demonstrated proficiency against Cole. Nevertheless, it’s important to consider that most of these hits likely occurred during the second or third at-bats in a game, and in this scenario, each player gets only one chance against the New York ace.
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Furthermore, Cole has been consistently strong during the first innings of his games this season, limiting batters to a .197 average and boasting a 38% strikeout rate. Hence, the ideal scenario would involve Cole staving off Martinez or Arenado in the top half of the inning, resulting in no runs.
Switching focus to the bottom half of the inning, Gallen steps in against the American League’s batters, including Marcus Semien, Shohei Ohtani, Randy Arozarena, Corey Seager, and Yandy Diaz. Unlike the National League’s strong record against Cole, the American League’s players have limited experience facing Gallen. This fact tilts the balance in favor of the Arizona ace, who has shown prowess against most of the American League line-up, with occasional struggles against the Texas Rangers.
During this season, Gallen has proven his mettle in the first frame, allowing only four runs and restricting hitters to a .589 OPS. As this is his first All-Star Game appearance in his five-year career, one can expect an exceptional performance from Gallen. It wouldn’t be a surprise if he manages to secure four of the six outs in the first inning through strikeouts. With the past five All-Star Games initiating with a scoreless first inning, the NRFI bet in Seattle seems to be a trend worth backing.
BettingPicks Expert YRFI & NRFI Predictions
MLB All-Star Game National League vs American League: NRFI (-120)
You can also check out our MLB predictions.
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