MLB Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Same Game Parlay picks: Spencer Strider’s High Strikeout Count Bumps Odds to +646!

At BettingPicks4you, we specialize in MLB analysis, delivering expert advice on YRFI/NRFI selections, individual player props, giant parlays, and more. Today we also have a Same Game Parlays, featuring tonight’s NL East rivalry showdown in Philadelphia between the home team Phillies and the Atlanta Braves. Scheduled to start at 6:40 pm, this match will broadcast nationally on TBS.

Before we delve into details, remember to review our MLB picks for side and total bets for today’s games. So, let’s unravel tonight’s Same Game Parlay between the Atlanta Braves and the Philadelphia Phillies.

Parlay Starting Tuesday 20th June, 6:40 PM ET

BettingPicks Expert Parlay Predictions

Under 8.5 (-115)

On Tuesday night, Citizens Bank Park hosts an intense NL East division clash as the Atlanta Braves square off against the Philadelphia Phillies. We’ll delve into the odds, study the starting pitchers, explore historical records, and deliver our prediction for this thrilling game. The Braves enter as -150 favorites on the road, while the Phillies are +130 underdogs on their home ground. The game’s run total is projected at 8.5.

Taking the mound for Atlanta is Spencer Strider, holding a 7-2 record with a 4.12 ERA and 127 strikeouts this season. Meanwhile, the Phillies entrust Ranger Suarez, who has a 1-2 record, a 3.82 ERA, and 35 strikeouts to his name this season. 

In their recent games, Atlanta boasts a 4-1 record in their last five away matches and a 14-3 record in their last 17 overall games, with six of the last seven games featuring a left-handed starting pitcher going over. Meanwhile, Philadelphia has been on a hot streak, with a 13-3 record in their last 16 overall games and a 9-4 record in their last 13 home games against right-handed starting pitchers. Their last five games have largely trended under.

My prediction leans towards the under in this match-up. I envisage a pitching standoff, with Suarez performing exceptionally in June and Strider, once tipped as a potential top-tier pitcher, likely to hold his own. Anticipating strong six innings from both pitchers, I’m opting for the under.

Philadelphia Phillies ML (+130)

The Phillies, who split their previous series with the Braves in Atlanta in late May, are now on a roll. From June 3, Philadelphia boasts a 13-2 record and is currently riding a six-game winning streak. Nick Castellanos ranks second amongst hitters in June, posting a .403 average, while Kyle Schwarber is tied with Corbin Carroll with seven homers this month.

Despite their impressive performance, the Phillies haven’t managed to close the gap with the Marlins and Braves, both of whom have also gone 13-2 since June 3. Six Atlanta starters are hitting above .300 this month, led by Orlando Arcia’s .397.

Considering the exceptional performances of both lineups this month, the game’s outcome will likely hinge on the pitching quality. Ranger Suarez, Philadelphia’s starting pitcher, has significantly improved since his return from injury. Although his ERA stood at 7.13 in June following four rough May starts, he’s been consistently good in his last three, allowing just two earned runs in 20 innings. On the flip side, Spencer Strider has allowed 13 earned runs on 15 hits in his last two outings. While Strider’s strikeout numbers remain impressive, his 11% barrel rate raises eyebrows. Despite being one of the NL’s top starters, I’ll bet against Strider on the road given his recent hiccups.

Spencer Strider over 8.5 strikeouts (-136)

This Same Game Parlay anticipates a win for Philadelphia due to Spencer Strider’s recent struggles. However, Strider remains one of baseball’s premier strikeout pitchers. Through 14 starts, he’s notched 127 strikeouts, averaging 14.5 strikeouts per nine innings—an improvement on last year’s 13.8 and the best in the league.

Against the Phillies on May 28, Strider recorded nine strikeouts over six innings and has a lifetime total of 43 strikeouts in 27.1 innings against this lineup, or 14.2 strikeouts per nine innings. On first glance, this number seems too low. Since September 2022, Strider has surpassed 8.5 strikeouts in 14 of his last 18 starts. The Phillies may be a formidable lineup, but they’re also prone to striking out, registering the eighth-most strikeouts in baseball. Therefore, expect Strider to record his usual high strikeout count and bet on the over.

BettingPicks Expert Parlay Predictions

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