MLB Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks Same Game Parlay Picks: The Josh Naylor Factor at +824

We have a full Friday MLB lineup, let’s examine our best Same Game Parlays (SGPs) for the day focused on Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks. Don’t forget to check out our MLB picks as well.

ARZ Diamondbacks
Parlay Starting Friday 15th June, 9:40 PM ET
DAYS
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BettingPicks Expert Parlay Predictions

Under 8.0 (-115)

Guardians Win (+125)

Josh Naylor 2+ TBs (+115)

Parlay odds (+824)

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Under 8.0

The Mystifying Home and Away Splits of Zac Gallen

Zac Gallen, the outstanding pitcher of the Arizona Diamondbacks and a potential contender for the NL Cy Young award, exhibits an enigmatic contrast between his home and away performances. His prowess on home ground is indisputable, but his performances outside Arizona’s confines are somewhat less inspiring.

Gallen, with 14 starts under his belt this season, has demonstrated a dramatic divergence in form depending on the location of his game. Away from home, the right-handed pitcher’s track record is less than stellar, with a 1-2 record, a 5.79 ERA, and a WHIP of 1.527. Opposing batters have enjoyed a .290 average and .782 OPS against him on the road – figures that cast doubt on his ace status.

In stark contrast, Gallen shines at Chase Field. He boasts a formidable 6-0 record, an enviable 0.96 ERA, and a WHIP of just 0.851. During these seven home starts, opposition batters have floundered, managing a meager .190 batting average, a .229 on-base percentage, and a .492 OPS. Given this vast home-ground advantage, it is hard not to rally behind Gallen when he’s in Phoenix.

Cleveland’s Achilles’ Heel: Gallen’s Fastballs and Curveballs

Gallen’s primary weapons, his lethal fastball and treacherous 12-6 curveball, account for more than 70% of his pitches. These tools are likely to prove particularly effective against a Guardians lineup that has posted a 92 wRC+ against right-handers over the past month. Cleveland’s struggle against these types of pitches is well-documented, with a -31.8 wFB (weighted runs against fastballs) ranking them 30th in the league and a -4.3 wCB (weighted runs against curveballs) putting them among the eight worst in the MLB. Gallen’s specialties seem set to exploit Cleveland’s glaring weakness.

Triston McKenzie: Cleveland’s Secret Weapon?

Triston McKenzie, Cleveland’s young star, is back in the rotation and he has been sorely missed. The 25-year-old demonstrated his potential last season, posting a 2.96 ERA across 30 starts and quickly emerged as a cornerstone of the Guardians’ future rotation plans. He had to bide his time on the sidelines for the first part of the 2023 season due to a shoulder surgery, but he’s back in form, dominating offensive lines once again. His batting average of .174 against the Arizona lineup, combined with Gallen’s .143 against Cleveland, makes a strong case for backing the under.

Guardians Win

Putting Money on the Guardians

Despite Arizona’s impressive run, led by a strong offense and an indomitable Gallen, we’re betting against them in this Cleveland matchup. The Diamondbacks have displayed middle-of-the-road performances from their bullpen and Gallen has had a few hiccups. Cleveland, on the other hand, has been boasting a top-10 offense, and they’re expected to keep the momentum going. McKenzie, though he struggled against a strong offense in one of his two comeback games, is talented enough to rein in the Diamondbacks.

Josh Naylor 2+ TBs

The Josh Naylor Factor

Josh Naylor has experienced his share of highs and lows this season. Nevertheless, he stands as one of the Guardians’ top hitters. His 125 wRC+ against right-handers and his propensity to consistently put the ball into play provides him numerous chances for extra-base hits, making a bet on Naylor a compelling prospect.

BettingPicks Expert Parlay Predictions

Under 8.0 (-115)

Guardians Win (+125)

Josh Naylor 2+ TBs (+115)

Parlay odds (+824)

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John Pentin
John was born and raised in London, John has always been in love with American sports. He started to write football articles back in 2006 on his own blog and has also worked for several newspapers. John other passion was betting and has worked as a trader for several top sports book in the UK. As sports trader and has joined leading UK betting tipping site BettingTips4You in 2013 and he is now head of content. He has a great passion for US Sports so hasn't wasted the opportunity to write also for NewJerseySafeBetting, now that online sportsbetting has been legalized in the state.