We have a full Friday MLB lineup, let’s examine our best Same Game Parlays (SGPs) for the day focused on Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks. Don’t forget to check out our MLB picks as well.
Parlay Starting Friday 15th June, 9:40 PM ET
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Under 8.0
The Mystifying Home and Away Splits of Zac Gallen
Zac Gallen, the outstanding pitcher of the Arizona Diamondbacks and a potential contender for the NL Cy Young award, exhibits an enigmatic contrast between his home and away performances. His prowess on home ground is indisputable, but his performances outside Arizona’s confines are somewhat less inspiring.
Gallen, with 14 starts under his belt this season, has demonstrated a dramatic divergence in form depending on the location of his game. Away from home, the right-handed pitcher’s track record is less than stellar, with a 1-2 record, a 5.79 ERA, and a WHIP of 1.527. Opposing batters have enjoyed a .290 average and .782 OPS against him on the road – figures that cast doubt on his ace status.
In stark contrast, Gallen shines at Chase Field. He boasts a formidable 6-0 record, an enviable 0.96 ERA, and a WHIP of just 0.851. During these seven home starts, opposition batters have floundered, managing a meager .190 batting average, a .229 on-base percentage, and a .492 OPS. Given this vast home-ground advantage, it is hard not to rally behind Gallen when he’s in Phoenix.
Cleveland’s Achilles’ Heel: Gallen’s Fastballs and Curveballs
Gallen’s primary weapons, his lethal fastball and treacherous 12-6 curveball, account for more than 70% of his pitches. These tools are likely to prove particularly effective against a Guardians lineup that has posted a 92 wRC+ against right-handers over the past month. Cleveland’s struggle against these types of pitches is well-documented, with a -31.8 wFB (weighted runs against fastballs) ranking them 30th in the league and a -4.3 wCB (weighted runs against curveballs) putting them among the eight worst in the MLB. Gallen’s specialties seem set to exploit Cleveland’s glaring weakness.
Triston McKenzie: Cleveland’s Secret Weapon?
Triston McKenzie, Cleveland’s young star, is back in the rotation and he has been sorely missed. The 25-year-old demonstrated his potential last season, posting a 2.96 ERA across 30 starts and quickly emerged as a cornerstone of the Guardians’ future rotation plans. He had to bide his time on the sidelines for the first part of the 2023 season due to a shoulder surgery, but he’s back in form, dominating offensive lines once again. His batting average of .174 against the Arizona lineup, combined with Gallen’s .143 against Cleveland, makes a strong case for backing the under.
Guardians Win
Putting Money on the Guardians
Despite Arizona’s impressive run, led by a strong offense and an indomitable Gallen, we’re betting against them in this Cleveland matchup. The Diamondbacks have displayed middle-of-the-road performances from their bullpen and Gallen has had a few hiccups. Cleveland, on the other hand, has been boasting a top-10 offense, and they’re expected to keep the momentum going. McKenzie, though he struggled against a strong offense in one of his two comeback games, is talented enough to rein in the Diamondbacks.
Josh Naylor 2+ TBs
The Josh Naylor Factor
Josh Naylor has experienced his share of highs and lows this season. Nevertheless, he stands as one of the Guardians’ top hitters. His 125 wRC+ against right-handers and his propensity to consistently put the ball into play provides him numerous chances for extra-base hits, making a bet on Naylor a compelling prospect.
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