Friday’s Major League Baseball lineup is brimming with opportunity. After sifting through today’s MLB games, I’ve singled out four picks that yield a +1429 return at BetMGM Sportsbook. Don’t miss our MLB predictions for all games today. Meanwhile, here’s my high-value MLB mega parlay for this Friday.
Parlay Starting Friday 23rd June, 6:40 PM ET
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Minnesota Twins -1.5 vs Detroit Tigers (+112)
In the initial segment of our sizable wager, we’re backing the Twins on the run line. Despite a turbulent season for Minnesota’s ace Kenta Maeda, optimism persists, as his expected ERA (xERA) of 4.55 significantly undercuts his actual. Maeda, a seasoned pro of seven years, has consistently displayed superior pitching abilities in contrast to this season’s performances. Thus, it’s plausible to forecast a positive turn against the Tigers’ lackluster lineup.
The Tigers’ starting pitcher Joey Wentz is enduring a taxing season, with an ERA of 6.82 and a WHIP of 1.56 across 13 games. Ranking low in key percentile metrics, it’s clear Wentz’s struggles have been consistent. Therefore, the Twins should encounter numerous scoring opportunities against him. With Maeda likely to improve and Wentz continuing to grapple, the Twins with their superior pitching and lineup appear as a compelling choice.
San Diego Padres -1.5 vs Washington Nationals (-122)
Our wager’s second segment leans towards the Padres on the run line. Patrick Corbin’s horrific metrics make him a frequent target to bet against, with Friday presenting an optimal setting. His distressing stats place him in the lowest 6 percentile of qualified starters across several metrics, including expected slugging (xSLG), xERA, expected weighted on-base average (xwOBA), and strikeout rate. With a poor .324 xBA after 15 games, further adversity is anticipated for Corbin against the Padres’ formidable lineup that previously outperformed him.
Joe Musgrove’s 3.10 xERA and high-ranking statistics in hard-hit rate, chase rate, and average exit velocity make him a daunting adversary for the Nationals’ weak lineup. We anticipate a clear-cut victory for San Diego.
Boston Red Sox ML vs Chicago White Sox (-115)
The Red Sox and White Sox clash in an MLB showdown at Guaranteed Rate Field on Friday. Following mixed results against the Twins, the Red Sox experienced a shutout loss, while Chicago suffered two losses in three games against the Rangers.
The Red Sox had initial success against the Twins before conceding defeats. Brandon Walter pitched the majority of Thursday’s loss, while Brayan Bello will step up to the plate for Boston on Friday. Bello, with a decent performance this season, holds a 4-4 record with a 3.49 ERA.
The White Sox had a mixed outcome against the Rangers. Michael Kopech, the starter in their final game, conceded three earned runs in four innings. Lucas Giolito, with a 5-4 record and a 3.54 ERA, will take the mound on Friday.
The Red Sox have demonstrated a strong performance on Fridays and at the start of series, as well as against the AL Central. On the contrary, the White Sox have seen success following off-days and on Fridays, but have been inconsistent overall. Backing the Red Sox seems plausible, given Bello’s strong form and the team’s need for a solid comeback.
SF Giants Win -1.5 vs Arizona Diamondbacks (+112)
The final segment of our bet heads to the bay where the Diamondbacks confront the in-form Giants. Diamondbacks’ Zach Davies, with an underwhelming 7.11 ERA and 1.74 WHIP, has largely been a disappointment, ranking low in key pitching percentiles. He now faces the daunting task of pitching against the on-fire Giants, enjoying a 9-1 run in their last 10 games.
Logan Webb will pitch for the Giants, boasting a solid 3.11 ERA and 1.11 WHIP. Although
Webb’s xBA and expected slugging (xSLG) are mediocre, he ranks highly in getting batters to chase and preventing walks. Webb presents a significant challenge for the Diamondbacks, more so than Davies for the Giants’ offense.
The combination of the Diamondbacks’ potential fatigue and the Giants’ pitching superiority persuades us to back the Giants on the run line.
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