With a dozen MLB matches unfolding this Thursday, numerous valuable picks are up for grabs. My focus narrows down to the clash between the Miami Marlins and the Boston Red Sox, leading to an intriguing same-game parlay. Don’t miss out on our MLB Predictions for all today’s games, but for now, let’s dive into my special same-game parlay for the Marlins vs Red Sox match.
Parlay Starting Thursday 29th June, 7:10 PM ET
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Boston Red Sox to Win (-110)
In the closing game of their three-part series this Thursday, the Boston Red Sox are welcoming the Miami Marlins at the renowned Fenway Park. So far, the Marlins have demonstrated their supremacy with two consecutive victories, showing remarkable prowess with a significant win in the initial game and maintaining their ascendancy with a four-run triumph on Wednesday.
In the series’ first match, the Marlins activated their offense from the get-go with a three-run lead in the opening inning, smoothly sailing to an impressive 10-1 win. Their relentless pursuit of victory continued in Wednesday’s game, scoring three pivotal runs in the sixth inning to secure a 6-2 win.
The Marlins’ weapon of choice for a possible sweep is Jesus Luzardo. Luzardo’s performance across his 16 starts this season has been praiseworthy, recording a 6-5 win-loss record, a 3.77 ERA, and a striking tally of 103 strikeouts in 90.2 innings. Throughout his career, Luzardo has maintained a 19-23 record with a 4.23 ERA over 77 games, with 61 of these being starts.
Contrarily, the Red Sox have endured a tough series, yielding four runs in the eighth inning and 19 hits to the Marlins on Tuesday. During the second game, despite out-hitting Miami 8-7, Boston failed to convert their chances into substantial runs. Starter Kaleb Ort lasted only 2.0 innings, giving up one earned run and two hits.
The Red Sox are entrusting Brayan Bello with the task of reclaiming their honor in the series decider. Bello has shown potential throughout his 12 starts this season, compiling a 5-4 record, a 3.27 ERA, and 62 strikeouts over 66.0 innings. His career stats reflect a 7-12 record and a 3.94 ERA over 25 games, 23 of which were starts.
While the Red Sox’s commendable 80-38 record against NL East opponents and a strong 40-19 home record against left-handed starters hold merit, their current form is worrisome. The Marlins, propelled by a successful streak, have come out victorious in six out of their last seven third series games, and have a significant 21-8 record in their last 29 games overall.
Although both teams have competent starters—with Bello bagging two wins from his last three games and Luzardo conceding only two earned runs in his recent 13.0 innings—the Red Sox are under immense pressure to prevent a home defeat. Yet, one cannot disregard the Marlins’ recent outstanding form, making this final game a must-see event.
Kike Hernandez Over 0.5 Singles (+110) & Adam Duvall Over 0.5 Singles (+135)
I also add Kike Hernandez and Adam Duvall to have a couple of singles with a plus-matchup against the Lefty Luzardo. Duvall is currently hitting .368 against left-handed pitchers this season and there is good value in adding these two options to our same game parlay.
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