MLB picks Friday 7/7: YRFI & NRFI best bets today: Navigating Hunter Brown’s Dominant Start!

For those who prefer quick action on their bets rather than sitting through a full nine innings, betting on whether a run will be scored in the first inning is an enticing option. It only takes six outs to determine the outcome, and a single homer could instantly swing the result.

These types of wagers offer good value because they are typically priced attractively. Moreover, if you’re not the type to eagerly watch every moment of a three-hour game, these bets typically resolve in a much shorter span of around 15 minutes. Now, let’s delve into it, but don’t forget to check out our Friday MLB picks for each match.

SD Padres
First Match Starting Friday 7th July, 8:10 PM ET
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BettingPicks Expert YRFI & NRFI Predictions

Astros vs. Mariners: NRFI (-115)

Mets vs Padres: NRFI (-128)

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Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners – NRFI (-115)

The Astros’ young right-handed pitcher, Hunter Brown, starts against the Mariners. His impressive stats, including his expected ERA (xERA) aligning with his actual ERA, and league-average-beating figures in expected batting average (xBA), barrel%, walk rate (BB%), and chase rate, all suggest a strong performance. The Mariners, in comparison, have had a lackluster 2023 season, ranking in the lower tier in key hitting statistics. Brown should comfortably navigate the first inning.

Luis Castillo will start for the Mariners. Despite a subpar record, his performance is better reflected in his 3.05 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. He’s among the top-ranking pitchers in various categories, including BB%, chase rate, xBA, and K%. His opposing Astros team has recently been weakened by injuries, and their slight struggle against right-handed pitchers, coupled with the Minute Maid Park’s low offensive ballpark factors, point to a promising matchup for Castillo.

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres: NRFI (-128)

The Mets’ dismal first-inning record sees them scoreless in 81.40% of games, a figure that rises to 87.23% when on the road. On Friday, they face Yu Darvish, who has a misleading 4.84 ERA but impressive 3.64 xERA. He’s especially strong in the first inning, with a 1.93 ERA and limited batters to a .128 batting average and a .146 on-base percentage.

The Mets’ Justin Verlander, who rebounded from a rocky start to the season, is set to pitch. He had a solid June with a 3.33 ERA and recently allowed just 5 hits and no earned runs in a 7-inning performance against the Giants. Verlander is up against a Padres lineup that, although imposing on paper, struggles against right-handed pitching, indicating a challenging match for the Padres.

BettingPicks Expert YRFI & NRFI Predictions

Astros vs. Mariners: NRFI (-115)

Mets vs Padres: NRFI (-128)

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Patrick Culhane
Father of two beautiful kids. Grew up around sports, still waiting for the Vikings to win the Super Bowl. Is very adamant that Breaking Bad is the best tv show ever.