MLB Picks Monday 6/19: YRFI & NRFI Best Bets Today: Will the Tigers’ Hot Streak Continue in First Inning Fireworks?

Dislike waiting out an entire baseball match only to lose your bet in the final inning? You should consider the YRFI/NRFI market – a quick betting strategy that only needs 10 to 15 minutes of your attention during the first inning. With a ten-game Monday lineup, there are many opportunities to explore. I’ve whittled down the options to my top two bets. Let’s dive in, and remember to check out our MLB picks for every game today on the side and total.

MIL Brewers
First Match Starting Monday 19th June, 6:40 PM ET
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BettingPicks Expert YRFI & NRFI Predictions

Diamondbacks vs Brewers: NRFI (-140)

Royals vs Tigers: YRFI (-120)

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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers: First Inning – No Run (NRFI) (-140)

The duel between Merrill Kelly and Corbin Burnes this evening in Milwaukee showcases two pitchers at the top of their game in the past month.

Kelly boasts a commendable strikeout rate of 30.3% and a mere 7.4% walk rate over the last 30 days. He has also managed to induce 50% ground balls, and has limited teams to a .143 ISO and a .249 wOBA in the same timeframe.

Kelly will likely face Christian Yelich, Jesse Winker, and Willy Adames as the first batters. Despite Yelich’s high wOBA against righties and a low strikeout rate, his tendency to hit ground balls (53.7%) against righties over the past month is noteworthy. Following Yelich, Kelly will confront Winker, with a high strikeout rate (40%) against righties, and Adames, with a wOBA of .257 against righties. In case a player makes it to base, Rowdy Tellez is next in line with below-average figures against righties in the last month.

Conversely, Corbin Burnes may face a slightly more challenging task. Still, his recent performance has been exceptional, maintaining a .129 ISO and .254 wOBA against him over the last month. His first encounters will be left-handers Geraldo Perdomo, Ketel Marte, and Corbin Carroll. Burnes has been proficient against lefties recently, forcing over 51% ground balls and allowing limited fly balls (24.4%) and line drives (17.8%).

Given these conditions, a first inning with no runs seems a promising bet in this matchup.

Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers: First Inning – Yes Run (YRFI) (-120)

Although the Kansas City Royals and the Detroit Tigers are among the teams with the least runs scored this season (28th and 29th, respectively), recent performance tells a different story. The Royals tallied ten runs against the Angels last Saturday, while the Tigers accumulated 33 runs over their last six games. Only the Giants and Braves have scored more runs during the same period. Favorable matchups await both lineups, courtesy of the showdown between starting pitchers Reese Olson and Jordan Lyles.

Detroit’s pitcher, Olson, a 23-year-old right-hander, only has 13.1 MLB innings to his credit. In his three starts, he carries a 6.08 ERA and comes off a tough match against the Braves, where he yielded six earned runs. In contrast, Jordan Lyles, taking the mound for the bottom of the first inning, has been among the poorest first-inning performers this season. In his 14 starts, he has a 7.71 ERA in the first inning and has allowed six home runs. In fact, only twice has he managed a clean first inning.

Given these conditions and the Tigers’ current hot streak, an early onslaught against Lyles seems likely. Therefore, a bet on a run being scored in the first inning appears a sound choice.

BettingPicks Expert YRFI & NRFI Predictions

Diamondbacks vs Brewers: NRFI (-140)

Royals vs Tigers: YRFI (-120)

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Patrick Culhane
Father of two beautiful kids. Grew up around sports, still waiting for the Vikings to win the Super Bowl. Is very adamant that Breaking Bad is the best tv show ever.