Wishing you a joyful 4th of July!
Before you set off for your barbecue or fireworks celebration, don’t miss out on some betting action!
Tonight, I have picked a very interesting same-game parlay on the match between Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Dodgers. It might be a good idea for you to join in, especially given our recent success; we bagged two parlay wins in the last three days!
Dive into today’s MLB Predictions and now let’s look at Pirates vs Dodgers SGP without further ado!
Parlay Starting Tuesday 4th July, 9:10 PM ET
BettingPicks Expert Parlay Predictions
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Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 Win (-105)
The Pirates, fresh from a 5-2 defeat to the Dodgers in Monday’s series opener, are set to bounce back. Their confidence lies in the talented arm of their young right-handed pitcher, Luis Ortiz, aged just 24.
Ortiz, known for his high-speed pitches, currently holds a record of 1-2, with an earned run average (ERA) of 4.15. Intriguingly, his performances on the road have been notably superior to his home games. In his five away games, across 26 innings pitched, Ortiz has given up a mere three home runs, exhibiting his immense potential.
A recent away performance encapsulated his capabilities, where he allowed just a single run. Over a course of eight innings, he conceded seven hits and two walks, leading the Pirates to a hard-fought 3-1 victory against the high-flying Miami Marlins.
The Dodgers, in contrast, are placing their trust in 23-year-old rookie RHP, Emmet Sheehan. Sheehan’s recent success, marked by back-to-back wins in his previous two starts, has boosted his confidence. Despite his young age, he has already achieved two quality starts in his three games since being elevated from the minor leagues.
While not necessarily a strikeout specialist, Sheehan has proven highly effective in limiting home runs, a factor that’s greatly contributed to the Dodgers’ ongoing success. His role in the upcoming game could be instrumental.
Though the Pirates might face a significant challenge in clinching a victory, match predictions hint at a closely contested game. Hence, a wager on the Pirates covering the run line as underdogs on the road might be a worthy gamble.
Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 Total Bases (-115) & David Peralta Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130)
With Luis Ortiz on the mound for the Pirates, interesting stats emerge. He’s conceded an ISO of .261 and a wOBA of .520 against his last 54 left-handed batters. This season, he’s faced 104 lefties, allowing a .233 ISO and a wOBA of .472.
In the past month, Ortiz has struck out just 13% of left-handed batters, while walking nearly 15%. He’s also given up over 53% hard contact and nearly 26% line drive contact, raising eyebrows.
A worrying statistic is Ortiz’s low swinging strike rate of 6.9%. He seldom induces any whiffs outside the strike zone, a fact that might prove costly. His BABIP against lefties in the past month is .472, largely because of his high hard contact and line drive rates.
Freddie Freeman’s performance against right-handers in the past month deserves mention, with a wOBA of .334. He’s hit 33.3% of line drives and fly balls, and has managed a hard-hit rate of 43.1%.
Lastly, David Peralta has been impressive against right-handers in the past month. He’s achieved a hard-hit rate of 66.7%, an ISO of .190, and a wOBA of .442.
Considering these factors, my money is on these three left-handed batters facing Ortiz tonight. Their performances indicate a high probability of them surpassing Ortiz’s pitching, making for a potentially profitable wager.
BettingPicks Expert Parlay Predictions
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