MLB Wednesday Parlay at Mega +570 Odds Today 6/14: The Unforeseen Rise of the Baltimore Orioles

Celebrating Wednesday’s 16-game MLB slate, I’ve pinpointed three advantageous picks for a mega parlay. However, ensure to explore our comprehensive MLB predictions for each matchup. Now, let’s dive into today’s MLB mega parlay insights.

DET Tigers
Parlay Starting Wednesday 14th June, 7:05 PM ET
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BettingPicks Expert Parlay Predictions

BAL Orioles Win (-105)

BOS Red Sox -1.5 (-130)

NY Yankees Win (-110)

Parlay Odds (+570)

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The Baltimore Orioles: From Underdogs to Contenders

In the realm of baseball, the Baltimore Orioles have emerged as one of the most captivating narratives over the past two seasons. From being seen as a likely candidate for the bottom five in the entire Major League Baseball (MLB) roster at the start of last year, they’ve incredibly transitioned to flaunt the second-best record in the league a year later.

Even though their roster seems well assembled, there’s a conspicuous absence of a definitive ace in their starting staff, a crucial addition that would undoubtedly certify their status as a genuine contender. That said, 26-year-old right-hander Kyle Bradish has proven to be a reliable option for the team.

Bradish has helmed the Orioles to victory seven times in his 11 appearances on the mound, recording a commendable Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) rate of 3.60. His tactical move to reduce the usage of his four-seam fastball from 44.5% last year to 30.2% this year, to accommodate more breaking balls, has been a strategic game-changer.

The Tactical Shift and Its Impact

Bradish’s pitching arsenal primarily includes a slider and curveball, both of which have contributed significantly to his impressive performance. Out of his 51 strikeouts this season, 29 were achieved through his slider. The slider has also attained a 38% whiff rate and limited opponents to a .194 batting average (BA) and a .215 weighted on-base average (wOBA).

Although his curveball is slightly slower by 3 MPH, it generates similar results, permitting a .200 BA and .214 wOBA. Bradish has also increased his sinker use, improving his ground ball rate. However, his main challenge arises when he falls behind in counts, resulting in a surge in his four-seamer usage.

Facing a tough match against Toronto, a team ranking fifth in wOBA against right-handed pitching in the last 30 days, the Blue Jays’ strong history against Bradish might slightly eclipse his performance. Nonetheless, the Orioles boast arguably the best bullpen in baseball, ranking fourth in FIP over the last 30 days, further strengthened by the availability of both Yennier Cano and Felix Bautista.

The Unforeseen Turn of Events for Jose Berrios and Alek Manoah

Jose Berrios and Alek Manoah have essentially switched roles this season. Although Berrios was never as bad as Manoah has been this season, his struggles last year often led to attempts to fade him. After a slow start to this year, Berrios has surprisingly produced excellent results recently. His last seven starts culminated in a 2.28 ERA, with Toronto winning 6-1 in his outings.

Despite his improved performance, Berrios might encounter difficulties in this matchup. Baltimore has been just as effective against right-handed pitching in the last 30 days, ranking sixth in wOBA and first in ISO. The recent introduction of Gunnar Henderson into the leadoff spot, with his elite eye, fantastic speed, and exceptional power, has fortified Baltimore’s offensive front.

Berrios, who has shown more vulnerability against left-handed bats this season, might find himself at a disadvantage against the 4 lefty bats in Baltimore’s lineup. Moreover, his performance on the road this season has been less impressive, which is a trend seen across most of Toronto’s pitching staff.

While Toronto also has a rested and solid bullpen, Baltimore clearly has the upper hand in that department. With the pitching matchup and lineups being relatively even, the better base running

team with a superior bullpen, which is essentially a near pick ’em, is the obvious choice.

Colorado Rockies: Austin Gomber’s Decline

The Colorado Rockies’ starting rotation has faced significant setbacks due to injuries and cuts. The team’s only saving grace seemed to be Austin Gomber, who had maintained his health throughout. However, his recent performances have painted a grim picture for Colorado.

Gomber’s recent outings have raised his ERA to an alarming 7.57. His expected ERA (xERA) is at 7.60, and his FIP stands at a staggering 6.75, making it abundantly clear that his struggles aren’t a one-off. Gomber’s performance has consistently been poor across the board. For instance, he falls in the 1st percentile in expected batting average (xBA), 2nd percentile in expected slugging (xSLG), 6th percentile in strikeout rate, and 25th percentile in barrel rate.

This significant dip in performance isn’t a result of a rough start to the season followed by a bounce-back; Gomber’s struggle has been consistent. In June alone, he allowed 9 runs, 17 hits, 5 walks, and 4 home runs in just 6.2 innings. His performances against the Royals and Padres, ranking 15th and 29th in wRC+ against left-handed pitching over the past 30 days, have been underwhelming. However, the Red Sox, who rank seventh with a 124 wRC+, pose a significant challenge.

The Superiority of the Red Sox

Regardless of who the Red Sox were going to start, they undeniably had the pitching advantage. With Garrett Whitlock starting, their advantage increased manifold. Whitlock, the right-hander, made a shaky start to the season and was subsequently placed on the injured list. However, he made a strong comeback.

In the three outings since his return, Whitlock has allowed 6 runs and 16 hits while achieving 15 strikeouts in 16 innings. Despite his sinker occasionally getting him into trouble, Whitlock has the weaponry to keep the Rockies’ lineup off-balance. Given Gomber’s current form, it’s clear that the only sensible bet in this game would be on the Red Sox run line.

The Yankees vs. Mets: A Battle of the Titans

In the opening of their series against the Mets, the Yankees emerged victorious with a 7-6 score. Giancarlo Stanton, their slugger, scored a home run, a performance they’d need more of as they anticipate the return of outfielder Aaron Judge from injury. Infielder D.J. LeMahieu also went deep, becoming another essential player they need to step up.

In contrast, the Mets are struggling. If Max Scherzer fails to deliver as a reliable option on the mound, their position will become increasingly precarious. Scherzer failed to get through even four innings in their last defeat. The Mets are stuck in a rut, and it’s challenging to envision a way out.

An exciting pitching matchup between former Houston teammates Gerrit Cole and Justin Verlander awaits. Although Cole has had a more successful season with the Yankees, achieving seven wins and strong peripherals, Verlander’s performance has been disappointing after his big-money signing.

This game is essentially a toss-up, but considering the recent form, it’s hard to bet against the Yankees and Cole. Unless the Mets can offer some underdog pricing, it’s hard to see them as a sensible choice.

BettingPicks Expert Parlay Predictions

BAL Orioles Win (-105)

BOS Red Sox -1.5 (-130)

NY Yankees Win (-110)

Parlay Odds (+570)

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Carl Tarver
Born and raised in Denver and a former college baseball player, I'm an avid fan of prop bets, especially on the NBA, NHL, NFL, and NCAA. looking to find an edge by any means necessary. As a lifelong Nuggets fan, I promise to be very impartial when the Nuggets are not involved!