Washington Commanders Season Predictions
Key Stat: Washington was 7-10 in 2021
- Carson Wentz is the Commanders new quarterback
- Chase Young looks to take the next step at Defensive End position
- 2016 was Washington’s last winning regular season
The Washington Commanders are coming off a 7-10 season in 2021, and are hoping to improve on that in the ever-improving NFC East. Washington’s new name for their franchise will have a new leader as Carson Wentz comes over from Indy to take the reigns as starting quarterback. Wentz should be an upgrade from Taylor Heinickie, but he is still inconsistent and a long ways from his almost MVP form when he first came into the league. Washington also lost their best offensive linemen in Brandon Scherff during free agency, so they will need to bolster their Offensive Line. The Commanders did sign Terry McLaurin at wide receiver to a 3-year deal and drafted Penn State rookie Jahan Dotson at wideout too, so they should have some weapons for Wentz.
Defensively Chase Young and Montez Sweat should be healthy from their 2021 injuries, and should stabilize the defense from the front. Washington ranked in the bottom 10 for yards given up per game last year, so they should be able to improve on that just by having a healthier defensive line. The Over/Under that we like for Washington going into 2022 is 8.5 wins. It is up in the air how good Carson Wentz and Washington will be together in the first year. Philadelphia and Dallas seem like the two best teams in the division this year, so the NFC East doesn’t seem realistic. The Commanders have a manageable schedule early as they play Jacksonville, Detroit, and Chicago in their first six games. However, we don’t think they will be able to push for the playoffs this year, so realistically we have to go slightly under the 8.5 wins. We are predicting Washington to win 8 games and go 8-9 for 2022.
Key Stat: Washingtons offense and defense were ranked in bottom half of league
- Commanders defense was ranked 20th in 2021
- Washingtons offense was ranked 18th in 2021
- Commanders pass defense was fourth worst last year
The Commanders have a lot that needs to improve if they can think about the postseason in 2022. Their schedule isn’t daunting, however their division should be better than it was last year. Washington had a strong rushing defense in 2021, but their pass defense was horrible. Can getting their two defensive ends in Sweat and Young back healthy give some breathing room to that secondary? How well will Carson Wentz acclimate himself to a new team, new offense, and new wide receivers in year 1?
In the end we believe there are two many unknowns that need to go right for Washington to make the postseason this year. Add in the fact that you can get decent odds on the Commanders missing the playoffs as low as -185, we think that’s the smart play. We will take Washington to miss the postseason for our second futures pick!